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Forisk Blog: February 2013

Forisk Forecast: Expanding the Panama Canal

Posted on February 26, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Stumpage Forecasting, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s 2013 forecast of softwood stumpage prices in the United States. One of the best books I read in 2012 was David McCullough’s The Path Between the Seas about the building more…

Tags Panama Canal Expansion

Forisk Forecast: US Housing Starts Outlook

Posted on February 20, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | comment (1) in Forisk, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the second in a series related to Forisk’s 2013 forecast of softwood stumpage prices in the United States. Herman Chapman, in his 1935 book Forest Finance, wrote: Forestry is an empirical art and not a mathematical science.  The more…

Tags Housing

Thoughts on Forecasting Timber Prices

Posted on February 17, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | comment (1) in Forisk, Stumpage Forecasting

Forecasting timber (stumpage) prices and wood demand relies primarily on the manipulation of historical data and relationships to assess future scenarios and prices.  While the statistical techniques are somewhat agnostic, the development and application of relevant forecasts requires judgment.  How? more…

How Financing Signals Viability and Risk for Wood Bioenergy Projects

Posted on February 6, 2013 by Amanda Lang | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Wood Bioenergy

This post summarizes research from the January 2013 edition of Wood Bioenergy US (WBUS). Viable wood bioenergy projects can secure competitive financing.  In U.S. capital markets, primary sources of financing for these projects include private equity, project finance, grants, loans and more…

Tags bioenergy, Wood Bioenergy

Forest Finance: “Drive-By” Timberland Valuations

Posted on February 3, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timberlands

Want a simple method for valuing stocks and income earning real estate or timberland?  Consider the Dividend Discount Model by dividing next year’s income, assuming it will be earned annually in perpetuity, by a constant discount rate or cost of more…

Tags forest economics, forest finance, timberland investments

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