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Forisk Blog: 2015

Forisk Research: Hardwood Log Markets in the U.S. North

Posted on March 11, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Hardwood, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis

This post includes data from the Q1 2015 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) chapter on U.S. North hardwood markets. The old joke, “Why did the sawmill owner sell his mill?  Because he was board,” does not apply to hardwood lumber operations.  more…

Timberland Investment Challenges and Timber REIT Performance

Posted on March 5, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Timber REITs, Timberlands

This post includes excerpts from the Q1 2015 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) chapter on timberland investment vehicles and ownership. Institutional investors looking to add timberlands to their portfolios and timber REITs looking to grow their asset base both face the more…

Forisk Research: Projecting Structural Panel Consumption in the U.S.

Posted on February 26, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Structural Panels, Stumpage Forecasting, Wood Demand & Procurement

This post includes excerpts from the Q1 2015 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ). U.S. builders and homeowners use a lot of structural panels – oriented strand board (OSB) and plywood – to build and remodel homes. Timberland investors and managers care more…

Tags OSB, plywood

Wood Bioenergy in the US: Pellet Volumes Grow; Biofuel Projects Stall

Posted on February 22, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Wood Bioenergy

This post includes excerpts from the Q1 2015 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ).  The chapter on wood bioenergy details the current status and expected progress of the wood pellet, wood electricity and wood biofuels sectors in the United States, and their more…

Forisk Forecast Scorecard: 2014 Mid-Year versus Year-End Actuals

Posted on February 7, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forisk, Stumpage Forecasting, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Before projecting forward, we ground ourselves by looking back and evaluating the performance of previous forecasts and more…

Forisk Forecast: Canadian Imports, Western Log Supplies and U.S. Softwood Lumber Production

Posted on February 2, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Stumpage Forecasting, Timberlands, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the second in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. We use “sensitivity analysis” to test the relative importance of inputs in our models. Is this assumption more…

Forisk Forecast: 2015 US Housing Starts Outlook

Posted on January 22, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | comments (2) in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. In forecasting timber prices and wood costs, we work to (1) identify and understand relationships in historical more…

Tags Housing

Forest Finance Q&A: Applying Internal Rate of Return (IRR) to Timberland Investments

Posted on January 13, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timberlands

Internal rate of return (IRR) reflects the compounded return produced by a project.  IRR is best used in tandem with other measures, such as Net Present Value (NPV), especially in forestry. Let’s explore why. Q:             Does IRR provide a reasonable more…

Forest Finance: A Checklist for Investing in Timberland

Posted on January 8, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands

Simple reasons explain how and why timberland assets attract investors: Safety: timberland preserves capital. Growth: trees grow and land appreciates. Diversification: timberland behaves differently than stocks, bonds and stamp collections.   The actual investing in and managing of timberland requires more…

Forest Finance: Aunt Fanny Asks About Forest Rotations and Financial Maturity

Posted on January 4, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | comment (1) in Forest Finance & Economics, Timberlands

Aunt Fanny reached into the side pocket of her one-piece camouflage jumpsuit. She pulled out a blue roll of Mentos. “Want one?” she asked. “Sure,” I said, pinching off a white mint from the tin-foiled roll and popping it into more…

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