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Forisk Blog: 2020

Forisk Wood Fiber Review: Spotlight on the Q4 2020 U.S. Northwest Wood Fiber Market

Posted on December 22, 2020 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Wood Prices

A historic fire season continued to be the dominant story across the U.S. West as landowners assessed damage to timberlands, tried to arrange salvage operations, and planned for recuperating damaged lands. The toll of a destructive 2020 wildfire season is more…

Tags pulpwood, wood fiber

North American Softwood Lumber Capacity Continues to Shift South

Posted on December 15, 2020 by Amanda Lang | no comments in Softwood Lumber, Wood Demand & Procurement

Mill capacity in North America has shifted South since just before the Great Recession of 2007-2009 for softwood lumber. Reduced timber supplies in Western Canada from the mountain pine beetle made it hard to get wood in the region. The more…

Tags sawmills, softwood lumber, wood demand

Forecasting When Seasick

Posted on December 1, 2020 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber Market Analysis, Wood Flows & Cash Flows

In 2020, the U.S. economy has offered a bundle of mixed signals. Crashing growth and demand in Q2 led to a massive fiscal stimulus. Bullish stock indices and housing markets sit on uncertain labor markets. Even after tremendous growth in more…

Weyerhaeuser Reinstates Dividend and Rolls Debt Forward: Summary Analysis

Posted on November 24, 2020 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber REITs, Timberlands, Wood Flows & Cash Flows

Our bottom-up understanding of timberland investments and the forest products industry depends on the link between wood flows and cash flows, the theme of our annual investment conference. The (1) steady, localized harvesting and delivery of logs to (2) mills more…

Wood Bioenergy Update: North American Wood Pellet Exports

Posted on November 17, 2020 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Wood Bioenergy

This is the fifth in a series related to the Q4 2020 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ), which includes forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. Canadian wood pellet exports rose 9.6% year-over-year through August 2020. Canadian wood pellet more…

Tags Wood Bioenergy, wood pellets

Pandemics, Uncertainty, and the Wood Supply Chain

Posted on November 4, 2020 by Shawn Baker | no comments in Forest Operations, Wood Demand & Procurement

This post is the fourth in a series related to the Q4 2020 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ), which includes forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. The post includes excerpts from our featured research this quarter on more…

Tags forest industry, logging employment, wood demand

The Impacts of Advanced Genetics on Timber Supply

Posted on October 28, 2020 by Amanda Lang | no comments in Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Supply

This post is the third in a series related to the Q4 2020 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ), which includes forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. The post includes excerpts from our Forisk Facts and Figures section. Tyler more…

Tags genetics, timber forecast, timber supply

U.S. Housing Starts Outlook, Q4 2020 Update: What a Long, Strange Trip It’s Been

Posted on October 21, 2020 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics

This is the second in a series related to the Q4 2020 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ), which includes forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. The U.S. housing market continued to trend higher in September while shifting more…

Tags forest economics, Housing

Timberland Time Travel and Managing Risk Across Markets

Posted on October 13, 2020 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timberlands

This post is the first in a series related to the Q4 2020 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ), which includes forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. The analysis comparing timberlands and bonds will also be included in the more…

Timber Forecasts, Capital Budgets and Drawing a Line

Posted on October 6, 2020 by Brooks Mendell | comments (5) in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Strategy, Stumpage Forecasting, Timberlands, Wood Flows & Cash Flows

Economist Irving Fisher[1], in thinking about the worth of an asset, wrote: “Capital value is income capitalized, and nothing else.” Capitalization refers to the conversion of expected future income into an estimate of present value. This means any valuation effort more…

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