What Can Marching Bands Teach Us About Tracking Wood Demand and Timber Markets?

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Forisk, Timber REITs, Wood Bioenergy, Wood Demand & Procurement

When tracking wood demand and timber markets, we look not only to the past and to the future for guidance, but also to the side – peripherally – to gauge performance across markets and sectors.  Heather Clark, our Customer Relations more…

How Do Exchange Rates Affect US Forest Products and Timberland Investments?

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands

When studying exchange rates and currency markets, I sometimes think of the old joke “the quickest way to double your money is to fold it in half and stick it back in your pocket.”   Currency markets shake more than more…

Forecasting Stumpage Prices and Timberland Investment Performance Requires Local Knowledge of Wood Demand

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Forisk, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis, Wood Demand & Procurement

Last week, I met with the CEO of one of world’s largest forest management and consulting firms.  We ended up discussing a mutually perplexing question, “why do some timberland investors prioritize macro issues like housing at the expense of understanding more…

Tax Treatment of Timber REIT Dividends (in under 150 words)

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber REITs

A duck walked into the doctor’s office and asked, “Doc, how do you treat timber REIT dividends?”…. Distributions from real estate investment trusts (REITs) have three elements: Distributions representing firm Operating Income are taxed at investors’ ordinary (marginal) tax rates. more…

Public Timber REITs Report Mixed Results in First Quarter of 2011

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber REITs, Wood Demand & Procurement

Between April 25th and April 29th, all four public timberland-owning REITs reported their Q1 2011 financial performance.  Three of the four firms reported earnings per share below Wall Street consensus expectations: Overall, results continue to reflect the US housing downturn more…

Potential Impacts on Timberland Investors from FDIC Proposals on Risk Retention and Mortgage Markets

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting, Timberlands

Recent comments by Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) Chairman Sheila Blair regarding minimum down-payments of up to 20% for “qualified residential mortgages” (QRM) echoed discussions about residential housing markets at the UGA Timberland Investment Conference.  Our Equity Research Team (Neena more…

Timberland & Timber REITs: Credit Suisse Analysis Lacks Rigor and Logic

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber REITs, Timberlands

An interesting report landed on our desk a few weeks ago, further reinforcing the sorry state of timberland market analysis available to timber REIT investors. The report, from Credit Suisse, makes assertions based on a careless and faulty application of more…

Timber REITs and Timberlands: Wall Street Excitement versus Institutional Indifference

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber REITs, Timberlands

Last week, I spoke at the Global Real Assets Investment Forum in New York as part of the panel on “Timber in Institutional Portfolios.”  My takeaway from participating in this event:  institutional investors seem bored with timberlands.  They showed more more…