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This is the fourth in a series related to Forisk’s 2013 forecast of softwood stumpage prices in the United States. How did Forisk’s Forecast perform in 2012? For pine stumpage prices in the U.S. South, the Forisk Forecast was within more…
According to Forisk tracking of timberland ownership in the United States, 117 firms currently own or manage in excess of 100,000 acres of timberland. These firms feature the following descriptive statistics: As a group, they own/manage 86.2 million acres of more…
This is the second in a series related to Forisk’s 2013 forecast of softwood stumpage prices in the United States. Herman Chapman, in his 1935 book Forest Finance, wrote: Forestry is an empirical art and not a mathematical science. The more…
Forecasting timber (stumpage) prices and wood demand relies primarily on the manipulation of historical data and relationships to assess future scenarios and prices. While the statistical techniques are somewhat agnostic, the development and application of relevant forecasts requires judgment. How? more…
What opportunities exist for “getting smart” in forest finance? I field versions of this question regularly from students seeking work in the timberland investment sector and from forestry professionals looking to broaden their skills and offerings to current clients. To more…
We are thrilled to announce that The Forest History Society published the book “Wood for Bioenergy: Forests as a Resource for Biomass and Biofuels” by Forisk authors Brooks Mendell and Amanda Hamsley Lang. The book reviews the historical context and more…
This is the first in a three-part series related to Forisk’s modeling of future softwood stumpage prices in the US South and Pacific Northwest. Increasing housing starts prime the pump during an economic recovery. The Economist magazine describes the upside more…
As of March 30th, publicly-traded timberland-owning REITs, as measured by the Forisk Timber REIT (FTR) Index, returned 11.45% year-to-date. This culminated a month of coverage and articles that highlighted both Forisk’s equity research of timber REITs and the performance and more…
One reality of market and investment research is that if a data set “should” exist, it doesn’t. And if it does exist, it’s probably out of date (especially in forestry). Therefore, my team views the systematic aggregation, tracking and analysis more…
The “80/20 rule” – also called the “Pareto principle” for Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto – posits that approximately 80% of your results or effects derive from 20% of the causes. Look around and examples materialize. 80% of your revenue more…