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Forisk Blog: 2016

Forisk Forecast: US Housing Starts Outlook, Q2 2016 Update

Posted on April 22, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2016 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Each quarter when updating our Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) forecast models, we revisit prior projections and review more…

Tags Housing

Timberland Obfuscation: How Equity Analysts Muddy the Inflation/Deflation Story

Posted on April 18, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | comment (1) in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber REITs, Timberlands

Another incomplete timberland investment thesis resurfaced: timberland as a deflation hedge. Chip Dillon of Vertical Research Partners dusted off this idea during a conference presentation in March. (We have had issues with timberland investment analysis from Mr. Dillon’s team in more…

Forest Finance: Managed Timberlands Create Value for Investors

Posted on March 22, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | comments (3) in Forest Finance & Economics, Timberlands

During a break at a recent workshop, a participant asked me, “Do we really need to manage forests to make money? Is it worth the extra effort instead of just letting trees grow back on their own?” Short answer: Yes more…

Forest Finance: Timber Assets Appreciate

Posted on March 11, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics

One challenge of investing in a forest is determining when it reaches financial maturity. This is when the owner’s cost of keeping an asset exceeds expected returns. Timber complicates this thinking because a tree is both the “product” and the more…

Pulp and Paper Investments and Rationalization: A Sector in Metamorphosis

Posted on March 4, 2016 by Amanda Lang | no comments in Wood Demand & Procurement

This post summarizes research published in the Q1 2016 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) Publication tracking investment activity and capacity reductions in the U.S. pulp/paper sector. Recent mill upgrades and closures mirror Forisk production forecasts; the pulp and paper sector is more…

Free Markets and the Logging Industry: What do Logging Rates Tell Us about Logging Capacity?

Posted on March 1, 2016 by Shawn Baker | no comments in Forest Operations

One scene in the Oscar-nominated movie The Revenant, features a group of trappers being pursued by a hostile party while trying to carry their injured colleague (Leonardo DiCaprio in an Oscar-winning role as a bear’s chew toy). The leader of more…

Tags Bears!, logging employment, logging rates, wood demand

Wood Bioenergy Update: Q1 2016

Posted on February 25, 2016 by Amanda Lang | no comments in Wood Bioenergy

This post includes an excerpt from the bioenergy research published in the Q1 2016 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) Publication. U.S. wood pellet exports continue to grow, albeit at a slower pace.  U.S. wood pellet exports continued to increase in 2015, more…

Forisk Forecast Scorecard: 2015 Projections versus Year-End Actuals

Posted on February 17, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | comment (1) in Forisk, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2016 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Each quarter, we look back and evaluate the performance of previous forecasts and earlier models. How did more…

Automation and the Logging Industry: Is Paul Bunyan retiring?

Posted on February 8, 2016 by Shawn Baker | comment (1) in Forest Operations, Forest Technology

A few recent stories about automation pertain to the logging sector. First came a report by the World Economic Forum that automation might replace 5 million jobs in the next five years. While hardly a new trend, it seems to more…

Tags logging employment

Forisk Forecast: US Housing Starts Outlook, Q1 2016 Update

Posted on February 3, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forisk, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2016 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Each quarter when updating our Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) forecast models, we revisit prior projections and review more…

Tags Housing

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