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Forisk Blog: 2017

Forest Finance: When Do We Overvalue Timber or Timberland Investments?

Posted on March 6, 2017 by Brooks Mendell | comments (6) in Forest Finance & Economics, Timberlands

In 1990, Nobel Prize-winning economist Daniel Kahneman and two colleagues published a study documenting how we can “overvalue” things we already own (D. Kahneman, J. Knetsch and R. Thaler, “Experimental Tests of the Endowment Effect and the Coase Theorem,” The more…

Forest Finance: Pros and Cons of Using Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

Posted on February 28, 2017 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics

A few notes and two questions to ask when applying and interpreting IRR. Internal rate of return (IRR) reflects the compounded return produced by an investment or capital project. IRR is best used in tandem with other measures, such as more…

Forest Finance: How Taxes Affect Timberland Investments

Posted on February 24, 2017 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timberlands

Albert Einstein, the smartest guy most of us never met, said, “The hardest thing in the world to understand is the income tax.” [Fascinatingly, this quote, along with others, can be found on the IRS website here.] Taxes matter in more…

How to Read an Annual Report (if you only have 20 minutes)

Posted on February 21, 2017 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics

The book Forest Finance Simplified includes a chapter titled “What Opportunities Exist for ‘Getting Smart’ In Forest Finance?” It lists six skills and topics for students seeking work in the timberland investment sector and for forestry professionals looking to broaden more…

Wood Bioenergy Update and Wood Pellet Exports: Q1 2017

Posted on February 17, 2017 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Wood Bioenergy

This post includes an excerpt from the bioenergy research authored by Amanda Lang and Andrew Copley published in the Q1 2017 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) Publication. Forisk analysis suggests wood use for viable bioenergy projects in the U.S. will be more…

Tags Wood Bioenergy, wood pellets

Nostradamus Never Ran a Feller-Buncher: Forisk’s Logging Cost Forecasts

Posted on February 14, 2017 by Shawn Baker | no comments in Forest Operations, Forisk

At the start of each year, we look back on our performance over the past twelve months and look forward to our expectations for the next twelve. George Box, a famous statistician, has a quote that provides me some solace more…

Tags forecasts, logging costs, logging rates

Timberland Investment Returns and the Performance of Timber REITs Over Time

Posted on February 6, 2017 by Brooks Mendell | comments (3) in Forest Finance & Economics

This is the fourth in a series of excerpts from Forisk’s Q1 2017 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. All equity indices tracked by Forisk – timberland and otherwise – produced positive returns in 2016; only more…

Forisk Forecast Scorecard: 2016 Projections versus Year-End Actuals

Posted on February 3, 2017 by Brooks Mendell | comments (2) in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2017 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. Each quarter, we look back and evaluate the performance of previous forecasts and earlier models. How did Forisk’s more…

How Have Sawmill and Plywood Capacities Changed in the South?

Posted on January 28, 2017 by Amanda Lang | no comments in Timber Market Analysis, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the second in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2017 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. The fact that the forest industry has changed structurally over the past 10 years is more…

Forisk Forecast: US Housing Starts Outlook, Q1 2017 Update

Posted on January 23, 2017 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2017 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. Forecasts of business and market conditions support a range of capital allocation and strategic planning more…

Tags Housing

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