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My older daughter* likes to tell the following joke: “Why did the banker quit his job?” “Because he lost interest.” This came to mind while reading a recent New York Times article on the power of yield curves as recession prognosticators more…
In our work over the years, we have come to learn that markets, like individuals, have “personalities” and capacities that “change” over time. For example, when fully rested and prepared, I can teach or write all day, but still cannot more…
In our previous post, we discussed timber market drivers and the “rough-hewn relationship between housing, lumber and timber.” Now, we consider regional analyses for localized investment strategies to best-position our mills and timberlands. While trees grow and markets cycle, regional more…
We often expect housing and lumber and timber markets to interact and behave in certain ways. However, these expectations assume operable levels of market clearing information and pricing that apply (somewhat) uniformly across North America in seamless, frictionless transactions. You more…
This is the sixth in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2018 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. The post includes an excerpt from the bioenergy research, authored by Andrew Copley and Amanda Lang. more…
This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2018 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. The post includes an excerpt from the Timberland Investment chapter. The North American timberland market more…
This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2018 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. When forecasting timber prices and delivered wood costs, we work to (1) identify relationships in more…
Timber Market Analysis (TMA) is a process of systematically evaluating and tracking local wood raw material markets for investing in and managing timberlands and wood-using facilities. The TMA process prioritizes questions, aggregates data, conducts analysis and communicates results and recommendations. more…
To change a system or improve a process, you must understand how it works. And part of this requires understanding constraints, boundaries and capabilities. As Dirty Harry said (when discussing the importance of rigorous due diligence, I believe), “a man’s more…
When assessing timber markets and wood baskets for forest industry and timberland investments, one line of analysis focuses on the “riskiness”, likelihood and competitiveness of existing and announced wood-using manufacturing facilities in and near the market. Timberland investors want to more…