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Forisk Blog Articles by: Brooks Mendell

Timberland Returns, Timber REITs and Rising Inflation Rates

Posted on November 15, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber REITs, Timberlands

Economists surveying the landscape following the 2016 US Presidential Election expect trade wars, economic growth and higher inflation. For me, this raises two questions. One, do the expectations of these analysts matter? That’s the performance question, and the track record more…

President Trump and the Price of Timber

Posted on November 9, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | comments (6) in Forest Finance & Economics, Structural Panels, Stumpage Forecasting, Timberlands, Wood Bioenergy

Once the election results were in, the emails started pinging at 3 a.m. with questions that can be summarized as, “How will a Trump presidency affect timber prices and the US forest products industry?” While the commentary in these messages more…

Forisk Forecast: How Manufactured Homes Affect the Use of Softwood Lumber and OSB

Posted on November 7, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | comments (2) in Forest Finance & Economics

This is the fourth in a series related to Forisk’s Q4 2016 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. Forisk projects housing starts of 1.17 million for 2016, which represents a 5.3% increase over 2015 actuals. However, more…

Forest Industry Margins and the Value of Wood

Posted on November 2, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | comment (1) in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Technology, Structural Panels

This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s Q4 2016 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. What is a tree worth? For timberland investors, the value of a tree is determined by the returns more…

Tags forest economics, timberland investments

Forisk Forecast: US Housing Starts Outlook, Q4 2016 Update

Posted on October 24, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q4 2016 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. Each quarter, when updating models for the Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ), we revisit prior projections more…

Tags forest economics, Housing, wood demand

How Do Forestland Owners Decide When to Harvest Trees?

Posted on September 27, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | comments (2) in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the third in a series related to analyzing timber markets and wood baskets. The first included tips for evaluating timber forecasts. The second included questions to ask during the forest industry capital allocation process. Forisk will discuss timberland more…

3 Questions for Forest Industry Capital Allocation

Posted on September 19, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands, Wood Bioenergy, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the second in a series related to analyzing timber markets and wood baskets. The first included tips for evaluating timber forecasts. Prior to conducting due diligence for clients, I ask several questions before committing our team to a more…

4 Tips for Evaluating Timber Forecasts

Posted on September 12, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands, Wood Bioenergy

This is the first in a series related to analyzing timber markets and forecasting timber prices. For those building budgets and developing strategic plans for timberland investments and wood using industries, consider these four tips when evaluating the usefulness of more…

Forisk Forecast: U.S. Pacific Northwest Timber Market Update, Q3 2016

Posted on August 7, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | comment (1) in Forest Operations, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis

This is the fourth in a series related to Forisk’s Q3 2016 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. Coastal markets in the Pacific Northwest include 68 open sawmills that can consume over 44.8 million tons of more…

Tags logging employment, Pacific Northwest, wood demand

Forisk Forecast: Projecting Hardwood Log Prices

Posted on August 3, 2016 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Hardwood, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis

This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s Q3 2016 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. Prior to opening our spreadsheets and shutting out the real world, let’s remind ourselves of practical matters that more…

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