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Forisk Blog Articles by: Brooks Mendell

Assessing Mill Risk when Analyzing Timber Markets and Wood Baskets

Posted on June 16, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Risk Management, Timber Market Analysis, Wood Demand & Procurement

In evaluating timber markets and wood baskets for forest industry and bioenergy investments, a key concern is the “riskiness”, health and competitiveness of wood-using manufacturing facilities in and near the market.  Timberland investors want to confirm that the mills will more…

How Reporters Miss the Forest and the Trees When Covering Wood Bioenergy Markets

Posted on June 3, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Timber Market Analysis, Wood Bioenergy, Wood Demand & Procurement

While the general public’s understanding of wood bioenergy remains incomplete, recent reporting on the issue fails to meaningfully inform readers on the status of woody biomass supplies and the actual development of wood bioenergy markets in the U.S.  In fact, more…

Tags wood pellets

Data Sources for Analyzing Timber Markets in the U.S.

Posted on May 22, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Timber Market Analysis

If a tree falls in the woods, will someone buy it?  Who?  What will they use it for?  How much will they pay for it?  How many other trees will they need this year?  Next year?  A rigorous timber market more…

Tags Center for Forest Business, wood demand

Wood Supply Agreements, Part II: Basic Principles for Transfer Price Calculations

Posted on May 12, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | comment (1) in Risk Management, Wood Bioenergy, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the second in a two-part series related to wood supply agreements and their relevance to analyzing timber markets. Part I of this series on wood supply agreements introduced basic pricing mechanisms often used in supply agreements and associated more…

Wood Supply Agreements, Part I: Pricing Mechanisms and Market Analyses

Posted on May 9, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Risk Management, Wood Bioenergy, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the first in a two-part series related to wood supply agreements and their relevance to analyzing timber markets. In his 1989 book Liar’s Poker, Michael Lewis wrote, “Risk, I learned, was a commodity.  Risk could be canned and more…

2013 Forisk Timber Price Forecast: Assessing Forest Supplies and Price Elasticities

Posted on April 9, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the sixth in a series related to Forisk’s 2013 forecast of softwood stumpage prices in the United States. When housing crashed in the United States, forest owners and timberland investors deferred harvesting sawtimber, the logs needed to manufacture more…

Tags timber forecast, wood demand

2013 Forisk Timber Price Forecast: Framing the Outlook

Posted on April 5, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Stumpage Forecasting

This is the fifth in a series related to Forisk’s 2013 forecast of softwood stumpage prices in the United States. In the 2013 Forisk Forecast published in March, four key themes frame the outlook for the next ten years: Timber more…

Tags log exports, timber forecast

Forisk Forecast Scorecard: 2012 versus Actuals

Posted on March 27, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forisk, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis

This is the fourth in a series related to Forisk’s 2013 forecast of softwood stumpage prices in the United States. How did Forisk’s Forecast perform in 2012?  For pine stumpage prices in the U.S. South, the Forisk Forecast was within more…

Tags timber forecast

2013 US Timberland Ownership: Descriptive Statistics

Posted on March 21, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forisk, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands

According to Forisk tracking of timberland ownership in the United States, 117 firms currently own or manage in excess of 100,000 acres of timberland. These firms feature the following descriptive statistics: As a group, they own/manage 86.2 million acres of more…

Tags Timber REITs, timberland investments, TIMOs

Thomas Jefferson and Timberland Ownership in the United States

Posted on March 15, 2013 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Timber REITs, Timberlands

Through executing the Louisiana Purchase in 1803, President Thomas Jefferson proved himself, among other things, the preeminent timberland acquisition professional.  In this bold embrace, he more than doubled the size of the United States by acquiring 820,000 square miles of more…

Tags timberland investments

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