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Forisk Blog: Stumpage Forecasting

Forisk Forecast: Tracking the Top Timberland Owners in the U.S. and Canada, 2015 Update

Posted on May 14, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | comments (3) in Stumpage Forecasting, Timber REITs, Timberlands

This is the fourth in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. In the United States, “industrial” timberlands, or privately owned acres managed to maximize wood volume and cash more…

Forisk Forecast Scorecard: 2015 Projections versus Q1 Year-to-Date Actuals

Posted on May 7, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Before studying trends and projecting forward, we look back and evaluate the performance of previous forecasts and more…

Tags Housing, wood demand

Forisk Forecast: How Does Shifting Softwood Lumber Production to the South Affect Pine Sawtimber Prices?

Posted on April 29, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the second in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Home construction drives baseline wood demand in the United States. Without demand for wood and forest products, more…

Forisk Forecast: US Housing Starts Outlook, Q2 2015 Update

Posted on April 24, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Each quarter when updating our Forisk Research Quarterly forecast models, we revisit prior projections and review applied more…

Forisk Research: Hardwood Log Markets in the U.S. North

Posted on March 11, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Hardwood, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis

This post includes data from the Q1 2015 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) chapter on U.S. North hardwood markets. The old joke, “Why did the sawmill owner sell his mill?  Because he was board,” does not apply to hardwood lumber operations.  more…

Forisk Research: Projecting Structural Panel Consumption in the U.S.

Posted on February 26, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Structural Panels, Stumpage Forecasting, Wood Demand & Procurement

This post includes excerpts from the Q1 2015 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ). U.S. builders and homeowners use a lot of structural panels – oriented strand board (OSB) and plywood – to build and remodel homes. Timberland investors and managers care more…

Tags OSB, plywood

Forisk Forecast Scorecard: 2014 Mid-Year versus Year-End Actuals

Posted on February 7, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forisk, Stumpage Forecasting, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Before projecting forward, we ground ourselves by looking back and evaluating the performance of previous forecasts and more…

Forisk Forecast: Canadian Imports, Western Log Supplies and U.S. Softwood Lumber Production

Posted on February 2, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Stumpage Forecasting, Timberlands, Wood Demand & Procurement

This is the second in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. We use “sensitivity analysis” to test the relative importance of inputs in our models. Is this assumption more…

Forisk Forecast: 2015 US Housing Starts Outlook

Posted on January 22, 2015 by Brooks Mendell | comments (2) in Forest Finance & Economics, Stumpage Forecasting

This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2015 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. In forecasting timber prices and wood costs, we work to (1) identify and understand relationships in historical more…

Tags Housing

How Wood Demand from Bioenergy Affects Forecasted Pulpwood Prices in the South

Posted on October 20, 2014 by Amanda Lang | no comments in Stumpage Forecasting, Wood Bioenergy

This post includes an excerpt from the feature article in the September/October edition of Wood Bioenergy US (WBUS) written by Brooks Mendell and Amanda Lang. The article illustrates the incremental impact of wood bioenergy markets and the critical impacts of project-specific more…

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