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This is the fourth in a series related to Forisk’s Q3 2018 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. The post includes an excerpt from the Regional Summary: U.S. South chapter. Twenty-five (25) OSB mills more…
After yet another consolidating acquisition of southern sawmills, it seems like an opportune moment to review the changing profile of the softwood lumber industry in the U.S. South. At the end of 2008 – the early days of the housing more…
We often expect housing and lumber and timber markets to interact and behave in certain ways. However, these expectations assume operable levels of market clearing information and pricing that apply (somewhat) uniformly across North America in seamless, frictionless transactions. You more…
This is the fourth in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2018 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. The post includes an excerpt from the Regional Summary: U.S. South chapter. Growth-to-drain analysis compares annual more…
Timber Market Analysis (TMA) is a process of systematically evaluating and tracking local wood raw material markets for investing in and managing timberlands and wood-using facilities. The TMA process prioritizes questions, aggregates data, conducts analysis and communicates results and recommendations. more…
To change a system or improve a process, you must understand how it works. And part of this requires understanding constraints, boundaries and capabilities. As Dirty Harry said (when discussing the importance of rigorous due diligence, I believe), “a man’s more…
When assessing timber markets and wood baskets for forest industry and timberland investments, one line of analysis focuses on the “riskiness”, likelihood and competitiveness of existing and announced wood-using manufacturing facilities in and near the market. Timberland investors want to more…
This post includes an excerpt from the Q4 2017 Forisk Research Quarterly feature article, “Local Projections and Pricing Impacts of Timber Supplies in the U.S. South” authored by Amanda Lang, Shawn Baker, and Brooks Mendell Each year, Forisk estimates future more…
Our previous blog on the uniqueness of individual timber markets and wood baskets generated questions and follow-ups on the tyranny of regional averages and the challenge of localizing price forecasts. In our world, there is no such thing as an more…
In the book “The End of Average,” author Todd Rose talks about the “tyranny of the average.” For any group of people, we can estimate an average height and average weight and average test score, and all of this leads more…