Timberland Investments: Smaller Sector with Bigger Portfolio Benefits

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Strategy, Risk Management, Timber REITs, Timberlands

This post includes themes from the (virtual) Applied Forest Finance course on April 3rd, 2025. Early registration ends March 20th! The investable universe for institutional timberland in the U.S. is modest compared to markets for stocks, bonds, currencies, or real more…

Tariffs on Imports from Canada? Tell Me More!

| comment (1) in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Strategy, Hardwood, Risk Management, Softwood Lumber, Structural Panels, Timber Market Analysis, Wood Demand & Procurement, Wood Flows & Cash Flows

Between reporting on artificial intelligence and the Luka Doncic trade to the LA Lakers, news leaked about potential U.S. tariffs on imports from Canada. While headlines screamed – see the January 31st The Wall Street Journal editorial “The Dumbest Trade more…

Concentration of Wood Demand in Local Timber Markets

| comment (1) in Custom Market Forecast, Forest Strategy, Risk Management, Softwood Lumber, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands, Wood Demand & Procurement

When localizing forest supplies, mill capacities, forest operations, and pricing, each timber market produces a unique profile. This uniqueness highlights how timberland valuations, wood procurement strategies, and forest management plans get customized to optimize the market and company assets. Recently, more…

Evaluating Mill Risk when Analyzing Timber Markets and Wood Baskets

| no comments in Custom Market Forecast, Forest Operations, Forest Strategy, Pulp & Paper, Risk Management, Softwood Lumber, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands, Wood Bioenergy, Wood Demand & Procurement

Recently, at the CANOPY forestland investment conference in Portland, I participated on a panel about pulpwood markets in the U.S. South. While the region enjoys abundant forest resources and dozens of new wood-using mills, it has also seen the closure more…

Financial Criteria in Forestry, Part I: What’s the Question?

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Operations, Forest Strategy, Risk Management, Timberlands

This post introduces research and topics that will be addressed in the Q2 2024 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ), which includes forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. Good questions clarify our context, risks, and options. Well-structured questions more…

Timberland Investment Returns: Components and Key Questions

| no comments in Forest Carbon, Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Operations, Forest Strategy, Risk Management, Timber Market Analysis, Timber REITs, Timberlands, Wood Flows & Cash Flows

This post includes themes and topics that will be addressed in the (virtual) Applied Forest Finance course on March 14th, 2024. Early registration ends February 29th! Timberland values, like those of commercial real estate and farmland, derive from their abilities more…

Balancing Data and Judgment when Analyzing Timber Markets

| comments (2) in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Operations, Risk Management, Timber Market Analysis, Timber Supply, Timberlands, Wood Demand & Procurement

Timber Market Analysis offers an organized, systematic way of (1) specifying a question related to forest industry investments or operations; (2) gathering and evaluating fundamental wood supply and demand information; and (3) using this to answer the question as best more…

Timberland Ownership and Wood Supply Agreements

| comments (2) in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Operations, Risk Management, Timber Market Analysis, Timber REITs, Timberlands, Wood Demand & Procurement, Wood Prices

Investing in wood-using mills and timberlands requires having a strategy about how to “feed” the mill or how to “market” the trees. These efforts raise questions about the relative value of vertical integration, where one firm owns mills and forests, more…