Concentration of Wood Demand in Local Timber Markets

| comment (1) in Custom Market Forecast, Forest Strategy, Risk Management, Softwood Lumber, Stumpage Forecasting, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands, Wood Demand & Procurement

When localizing forest supplies, mill capacities, forest operations, and pricing, each timber market produces a unique profile. This uniqueness highlights how timberland valuations, wood procurement strategies, and forest management plans get customized to optimize the market and company assets. Recently, more…

Evaluating Mill Risk when Analyzing Timber Markets and Wood Baskets

| no comments in Custom Market Forecast, Forest Operations, Forest Strategy, Pulp & Paper, Risk Management, Softwood Lumber, Timber Market Analysis, Timberlands, Wood Bioenergy, Wood Demand & Procurement

Recently, at the CANOPY forestland investment conference in Portland, I participated on a panel about pulpwood markets in the U.S. South. While the region enjoys abundant forest resources and dozens of new wood-using mills, it has also seen the closure more…

Financial Criteria in Forestry, Part I: What’s the Question?

| no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Operations, Forest Strategy, Risk Management, Timberlands

This post introduces research and topics that will be addressed in the Q2 2024 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ), which includes forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for North America. Good questions clarify our context, risks, and options. Well-structured questions more…

Timberland Investment Returns: Components and Key Questions

| no comments in Forest Carbon, Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Operations, Forest Strategy, Risk Management, Timber Market Analysis, Timber REITs, Timberlands, Wood Flows & Cash Flows

This post includes themes and topics that will be addressed in the (virtual) Applied Forest Finance course on March 14th, 2024. Early registration ends February 29th! Timberland values, like those of commercial real estate and farmland, derive from their abilities more…

Balancing Data and Judgment when Analyzing Timber Markets

| comments (2) in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Operations, Risk Management, Timber Market Analysis, Timber Supply, Timberlands, Wood Demand & Procurement

Timber Market Analysis offers an organized, systematic way of (1) specifying a question related to forest industry investments or operations; (2) gathering and evaluating fundamental wood supply and demand information; and (3) using this to answer the question as best more…

Timberland Ownership and Wood Supply Agreements

| comments (2) in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Operations, Risk Management, Timber Market Analysis, Timber REITs, Timberlands, Wood Demand & Procurement, Wood Prices

Investing in wood-using mills and timberlands requires having a strategy about how to “feed” the mill or how to “market” the trees. These efforts raise questions about the relative value of vertical integration, where one firm owns mills and forests, more…

Assessing Mill Health and Risk when Evaluating Timber Markets and Wood Baskets

| no comments in Risk Management, Timber Market Analysis, Timber Supply, Timberlands, Wood Bioenergy, Wood Demand & Procurement

When analyzing timber markets and wood baskets for forest industry, bioenergy, and timberland investments, a key topic is the “riskiness”, viability, and competitiveness of nearby wood-using facilities.  Timberland investors want to confirm that announced mills get built and existing mills more…

Forest Products and the Economics of Timber Markets, Part I

| no comments in Forest Carbon, Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Strategy, Risk Management, Timber Market Analysis, Timber Supply, Timberlands, Wood Bioenergy, Wood Flows & Cash Flows

This post includes topics covered in the (virtual) Timber Market Analysis course on October 11th and 12th, 2023 and in the Forisk Research Quarterly. Also, for those interested in conducting this type of research, please check out Forisk’s forest economist more…