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This is the first in a series related to Forisk’s Q2 2017 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. In our work, we apply forward-looking scenarios to our understanding of the “facts on the more…
This post includes an excerpt from the bioenergy research authored by Andrew Copley and Amanda Lang to be published in the Q2 2017 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) Publication. U.S. pellet exports were flat from 2015 to 2016: ports exported 4.7 more…
Forisk tracks wood-using facilities in North America’s forest products industry to study capital allocation, wood demand, and forest technology trends. Demand for logs from sawmills drives timber prices in most local markets and affects timberland values. Over the past 20 more…
With the impending vote on the American Health Care Act, there has been a tremendous amount of ink spilled regarding the cost of health insurance and its role in the economy. As the debate continues, I try to think about more…
Financial analysis depends on two basic concepts from utility theory. One, we prefer more money rather than less. Two, we prefer dollars today rather than dollars tomorrow. Not only do these principles hold for everyone from kindergarteners to investment bankers, more…
How do we value bare, naked forestland? Timberland investment models and appraisals often use a special application of net present value (NPV) called bare land value (BLV). Also known as land expectation value (LEV) or soil expectation value (SEV), BLV more…
In 1990, Nobel Prize-winning economist Daniel Kahneman and two colleagues published a study documenting how we can “overvalue” things we already own (D. Kahneman, J. Knetsch and R. Thaler, “Experimental Tests of the Endowment Effect and the Coase Theorem,” The more…
A few notes and two questions to ask when applying and interpreting IRR. Internal rate of return (IRR) reflects the compounded return produced by an investment or capital project. IRR is best used in tandem with other measures, such as more…
Albert Einstein, the smartest guy most of us never met, said, “The hardest thing in the world to understand is the income tax.” [Fascinatingly, this quote, along with others, can be found on the IRS website here.] Taxes matter in more…
The book Forest Finance Simplified includes a chapter titled “What Opportunities Exist for ‘Getting Smart’ In Forest Finance?” It lists six skills and topics for students seeking work in the timberland investment sector and for forestry professionals looking to broaden more…