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Forisk Blog

Risk and Context in the Forest Industry: Lessons from Wood Pellets, Part I

Posted on March 12, 2019 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Strategy, Risk Management, Wood Bioenergy

In the forest industry, where capital investments and forest management plans span decades, we benefit by understanding wood markets and technologies as they actually function. This helps clarify risks and provide context for emerging wood demand from new applications and more…

Revisiting 2018 Timberland Investment Returns

Posted on March 6, 2019 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Timber REITs, Timberlands

On February 28th, NCREIF – the National Council for Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries – sent out a note regarding a restatement of the Q4 2018 Timberland Property Index. Timberland investors, investment managers, and industry researchers and analysts (e.g. Forisk) often more…

Wood Pellet Capacity Continues to Increase in the U.S. South

Posted on February 26, 2019 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Wood Bioenergy

This is the seventh in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2019 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States and Canada. The post includes an excerpt from the bioenergy research, authored by Andrew Copley and Amanda Lang. more…

Tags Wood Bioenergy, wood pellets

Reading Between the Pines – Revisiting Forisk’s Logging Cost Forecast

Posted on February 20, 2019 by Shawn Baker | no comments in Forest Operations

“Reality is frequently inaccurate” – Douglas Adams, The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy It has been a couple of years since we last discussed the performance (and drivers) of our logging cost forecasts. At that time, we were seeing increased more…

Tags forecasts, logging costs, logging rates

Chinese Investment in U.S. Pulp & Paper

Posted on February 7, 2019 by Amanda Lang | no comments in Forisk, Pulp & Paper, Wood Demand & Procurement

This post contains an excerpt from the Q1 2019 Forisk Research Quarterly. This is the fifth in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2019 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Jack Lutz, Justin Tyson, and Shawn more…

Tags forest industry, mill investments, paper and paperboard

Forecasting Pacific Northwest Sawlog Prices

Posted on January 30, 2019 by Shawn Baker | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Softwood Lumber, Stumpage Forecasting

This post contains an excerpt from the Q1 2019 Forisk Research Quarterly feature article. This is the fourth in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2019 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Amanda Lang, Jack more…

Tags forest economics, Pacific Northwest, softwood lumber, timber forecast

Have We Finally Reached “Peak Sawmill”?

Posted on January 25, 2019 by Amanda Lang | no comments in Softwood Lumber

This is the third in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2019 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. New sawmills in the South were announced at a rapid clip in 2018, accelerating a trend of more…

Tags Biewer Lumber, capex, Georgia-Pacific, Klausner, lumber, sawmill investments, sawmills, softwood lumber

US Housing Starts Outlook, Q1 2019 Update

Posted on January 22, 2019 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics

This is the second in a series related to Forisk’s Q1 2019 forest industry analysis and timber price forecasts for the United States. Though U.S. housing slowed in the latter half of 2018, housing starts improved year-over-year in all market more…

Tags forest economics, Housing

Timber REITS: Tums for 2018 and Truffles for 2019

Posted on January 15, 2019 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics

This post introduces research covered in the Q1 2019 Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ) and during the February 19th“Applied Forest Finance” course in Atlanta. One reliable way to underperform as an investor is to buy into funds, stocks or assets at more…

Investing in Timber: Are You Guessing or Making Decisions?

Posted on January 9, 2019 by Brooks Mendell | no comments in Forest Finance & Economics, Forest Strategy, Timberlands

We don’t succeed in business or investing by falling in love with our own ideas. We profit through continuously and doggedly comparing our prior decisions to actual results in order to calibrate our “model” of how the world works and more…

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